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Probability · Lecture 29 of 76 · 15:10
Mean & Variance of the Exponential
Study guide
What this lecture covers
This recitation problem works through the exponential distribution in detail: deriving its CDF from its PDF, computing its mean and variance using integration by parts, and then extending to the maximum and minimum of several independent, identically distributed exponential random variables. It builds on the definitions of PDF, CDF, expectation and variance from earlier in the course.
You'll come away able to derive the exponential's CDF, mean and variance from its density, and use the trick of rewriting max <= z and min > w as intersections of simpler events to find the distribution of extreme values of independent random variables.
Key ideas
- Exponential CDF: for
Xexponential with ratelambda,F(x) = 1 - e^(-lambda*x)forx >= 0, found by directly integrating the density. - Mean via integration by parts:
E[X] = 1/lambda, computed by choosingu=tanddvas the density term, with the exponential term dominating the polynomial term in the limit ast -> infinity. - Variance from
E[X^2]: a similar integration-by-parts calculation givesE[X^2] = 2/lambda^2, soVar(X) = 1/lambda^2. - Exponentials always beat polynomials in the limit: any term like
t * e^(-lambda*t)ort^2 * e^(-lambda*t)goes to 0 astgoes to infinity, which is why these integrals converge. - Max of independent variables:
P(max(X1,...,Xn) <= z)equals the product of the individual CDFs, since the max is belowzexactly when every variable is belowz. - Min of independent variables:
P(min(X1,...,Xn) > w)equals the product of the individual survival probabilitiesP(Xi > w), since the min exceedswexactly when every variable exceedsw. - Minimum of exponentials is exponential: the minimum of two independent exponentials with rate
lambdais itself exponential, with rate2*lambda.
Before you watch
- Know the exponential distribution's PDF and the definitions of CDF, expectation and variance.
- Be comfortable with integration by parts and with taking limits of products like
t * e^(-t)ast -> infinity. - This problem assumes you've seen continuous random variables and independence from earlier lectures in the course.
Check your understanding
- Why does the derivation choose
u=trather thanu = e^(-lambda*t)when applying integration by parts for the mean? - Why does
P(max(X1,X2,X3) <= z)factor into a product of individual CDFs, butP(min(X1,X2) <= w)cannot be handled the same way directly? - Why is the minimum of two independent rate-
lambdaexponentials itself exponential, and what is its rate? - How would the formula for the PDF of the maximum change with four independent exponentials instead of three?
Chapters
- 0:00 <Untitled Chapter 1>
- 0:17 Cdf
- 2:01 Expectation
- 2:50 The Integration by Parts Formula
- 6:01 The Standard Formula for Variance
- 8:57 Find the Cdf
From the YouTube description
MIT 6.041SC Probabilistic Systems Analysis and Applied Probability, Fall 2013
View the complete course: http://ocw.mit.edu/6-041SCF13
Instructor: Jagdish Ramakrishnan
License: Creative Commons BY-NC-SA
More information at http://ocw.mit.edu/terms
More courses at http://ocw.mit.edu
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